Preseason Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#214
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.7#238
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 23.0% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.1 15.0
.500 or above 63.9% 86.3% 63.0%
.500 or above in Conference 74.4% 87.2% 73.9%
Conference Champion 17.7% 30.6% 17.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.2% 2.6%
First Four2.8% 1.5% 2.8%
First Round12.6% 21.9% 12.2%
Second Round0.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 414 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 24   @ Texas L 57-76 4%    
  Nov 08, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 75-61 89%    
  Nov 16, 2019 114   @ Northern Iowa L 59-69 20%    
  Nov 18, 2019 46   @ West Virginia L 65-81 7%    
  Nov 26, 2019 200   Boston University L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 14, 2019 275   @ Wyoming W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 17, 2019 305   Denver W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 20, 2019 165   South Dakota L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 28, 2019 270   @ Portland St. W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 02, 2020 279   Montana St. W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 04, 2020 198   Montana W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 09, 2020 191   @ Weber St. L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 16, 2020 280   Sacramento St. W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 18, 2020 278   Northern Arizona W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 25, 2020 338   @ Idaho W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 27, 2020 192   @ Eastern Washington L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 30, 2020 335   Idaho St. W 76-64 83%    
  Feb 01, 2020 191   Weber St. W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 06, 2020 226   @ Southern Utah L 71-74 42%    
  Feb 10, 2020 270   Portland St. W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 13, 2020 278   @ Northern Arizona W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 15, 2020 280   @ Sacramento St. W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 20, 2020 226   Southern Utah W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 22, 2020 335   @ Idaho St. W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 27, 2020 338   Idaho W 73-61 85%    
  Feb 29, 2020 192   Eastern Washington W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 05, 2020 198   @ Montana L 66-70 37%    
  Mar 07, 2020 279   @ Montana St. W 75-74 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.0 4.4 4.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 17.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.4 4.6 2.3 0.7 0.1 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.8 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.2 4.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.0 4.7 6.0 7.6 8.9 9.8 10.4 10.4 10.0 8.7 6.8 5.1 2.8 1.3 0.3 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
18-2 97.9% 2.7    2.5 0.2
17-3 86.4% 4.4    3.5 0.9 0.0 0.0
16-4 64.5% 4.4    2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 34.1% 3.0    1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.7% 17.7 11.9 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 62.1% 62.0% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4%
19-1 1.3% 55.7% 55.6% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.1%
18-2 2.8% 45.5% 45.5% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.5 0.0%
17-3 5.1% 37.3% 37.3% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 3.2
16-4 6.8% 32.0% 32.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.3 4.6
15-5 8.7% 22.9% 22.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.6 6.7
14-6 10.0% 18.8% 18.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 8.1
13-7 10.4% 13.2% 13.2% 15.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.0
12-8 10.4% 10.3% 10.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 9.4
11-9 9.8% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.3
10-10 8.9% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.4
9-11 7.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 7.5
8-12 6.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.9
7-13 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-14 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 4.4 5.2 86.1 0.0%